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Production data science

Predictive modeling, client scoring, churn analysis, A/B testing frameworks. Where LLMs are overkill — classical ML still earns more.

Not everything needs to be an LLM

The GenAI hype masks an unsexy fact: classical ML still wins in 80% of business use cases. Client scoring, churn prediction, demand forecasting, A/B testing — these are tools that make money predictably and cheaply. An LLM here is over-engineering at 100x the price.

At IG Group I spent 6 years building exactly these systems. Client scoring models saved ~$250,000 annually through better retention resource allocation. Trading opportunity models delivered ~$40,000 in additional monthly revenue.

What I deliver

  • Client scoring & lifetime value modeling — models that score customer value across lifecycle stages, ready to plug into CRM and campaigns.
  • Churn analysis — identification of high-churn-risk customers with concrete action recommendations.
  • Demand & revenue forecasting — Darts, Prophet, classical ARIMA where it makes sense. With honest backtesting.
  • A/B testing infrastructure — experiment design, sample size calculators, sequential testing, multiple comparison correction. Done right, not “this variant looks better.”
  • Data architecture — S3 + dbt + Redshift / GCP BigQuery / data lakehouse — for companies that outgrew a single Postgres. (At inFakt I designed a modern data architecture with 40% reduction in data processing costs.)

Common pitfalls

  1. Train/test leakage — classic, model looks 95%, in production drops to 60%.
  2. No model monitoring after deployment — models degrade through data drift and concept drift. Without monitoring, after 6 months you have a random number generator.
  3. Optimizing on a proxy metric — model maximizes CTR, business loses conversions.
  4. A/B test without sample size calc — conclusions after 3 days when you needed 3 weeks.

Who this fits

  • E-commerce, fintech, SaaS with ≥10k customers, where scoring/segmentation has real revenue impact.
  • Companies escaping the “let’s use ChatGPT for everything” trap — when classical ML is enough and 50x cheaper.
  • Teams needing MLOps setup (CI/CD for models, monitoring, retraining).

Stack

Python · scikit-learn · Pandas · NumPy · pySpark · Darts · XGBoost · LightGBM · SQL · BigQuery · Redshift · dbt · Vertex AI · SageMaker · MLflow · Streamlit · Tableau

Let's talk about your AI

Let's talk.

30 minutes, no obligation. Tell me where your AI initiative is stuck or what you're planning — you'll leave with concrete next steps.